Rational Financial Management – Rational Choices, Irrational Profits

Why we are different

Some interesting facts

Our team consists of Ph.D. guru, the world’s foremost expert in seasonal trading, an experienced Series 3 trader from Wall Street, and a former CIA intelligence officer who helped design critical analytical systems. Our associations and reach into unique data sources are vast.

Our Approach

Back test, Test, Revise, Filter

Reliable analysis and reliable predictability are difficult to achieve. Techniques for predictivity must be constantly monitored, backtested and adjusted.

Two concepts are import. First, the “feedback loop.” Data must be constantly re-inserted into the constant flow of new data to ensure that is keeps on track.

Second, “signal to noise ratio.” This means that as the data becomes crowded with noisy data, the volatility may increase or the probability of success may decrease. The proper filters are critical.

Our Goals

Minimize Risk, Maximize Profit

Minimize risk, maximize proft. It may sound trite but there is a reason that we test our methods thoroughly before exposing investment funds.

Mathematical soundness, high probability of success in our methods, coupled with long experience in the market, reduce the risk to your investment substantially.

“…It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles, or where the doer of deeds could have done them better.

The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood; who strives valiantly; who errs, who comes short again and again, because there is no effort without error and shortcoming; but who does actually strive to do the deeds; who knows great enthusiasms, the great devotions; who spends himself in a worthy cause; who at the best knows in the end the triumph of high achievement, and who at the worst, if he fails, at least fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who neither know victory nor defeat…“

Theodore Roosevelt in
Paris, France, April 23, 1910:

“The third characteristic of public opinion is that this opinion is formed by a very large number of people who cannot possibly experience the same fact in the same fashion, who judge it by different standards, speak different language, and share neither the same culture nor the same social position. Normally, everything separates them. They really should not be able to form a public opinion, and yet they do. This is possible only when all these people are not really apprised of the facts, but only of the abstract symbols that give the facts shape in which they can serve as a base for public opinion.

Jacques Ellul, 1962